FAQ

Straight answers to the questions we hear most. For the full legal detail behind any of these, see our Terms of Service; for the underlying modelling approach, see our Methodology; for term definitions, see ourGlossary.

What does Pro Edge^™ provide?

Pro Edge^™ is a quantitative sports-betting analytics service. We model match outcomes with calibrated probability models, then publish only the selections where our output diverges from the market's implied price by a backtested margin - the edge.

Is Pro Edge^™ a bookmaker or licensed gambling operator?

No. Pro Edge^™ is an analytics and information service. We do not accept wagers, stakes, or deposits, and we do not place bets on a User's behalf. Any wager is placed independently with a Third-Party Operator, entirely at the User's own discretion and risk. See our Terms of Service for the full position.

Does Pro Edge^™ support arbitrage betting?

No. Arbitrage is a function of price discrepancies between bookmakers, not predictive modelling, and isn't what this service is built for. Our edge comes from comparing a modelled probability against a single market price, not from comparing prices across books - see our Glossary for the distinction.

How does Pro Edge^™ price a selection?

Every selection passes through the same pipeline: data ingestion and normalisation, an ensemble of probabilistic models (Poisson regression, gradient-boosted trees, and Bayesian updating), and a publication gate that discards anything whose edge hasn't survived backtested transaction-cost and variance testing. See our Methodology for the full breakdown.

Why are prices quoted in decimal odds?

Decimal odds are the European standard and convert most directly to implied probability, which is the basis for every calculation we publish. Quoting consistently in one format means a stated edge means the same thing on every selection, regardless of which bookmaker or region it was sourced from.

How do you guard against overfitting in backtests?

A backtest is only as good as its discipline: ours run on out-of-sample historical data, account for transaction costs and realistic price availability, and have to clear a statistical-significance bar before a model is allowed to publish live. A strategy that only looks profitable once costs and sample size are ignored isn't a real edge - see our Methodology for the full validation process.

Do you publish a single probability or a range?

Every model output carries a confidence interval, not just a point estimate. Where our ensemble's methods disagree sharply, that's treated as a signal in itself - it widens the uncertainty band rather than being smoothed away, and can be enough on its own to keep a fixture off the publication list.

What is closing-line value (CLV), and why does it matter?

Closing-line value is the gap, in percentage points of implied probability, between the closing line - the market's most efficient, final price before kick-off - and the price we actually took. A positive figure means we got a better price than the market's own final assessment. Consistently positive CLV, averaged across every settled selection, is the most reliable indicator of a genuine, repeatable edge, independent of any single result - which is why we publish our average CLV rather than relying on win/loss alone.

What is the daily selection card on the homepage?

A transparent view of what the betting market itself expects, refreshed every morning - not a Pro Edge^™ selection. It looks at two-way markets only - the favourite's Asian handicap −0.25 and over or under 2.5 goals - priced by the margin-free consensus of at least four bookmakers. Of that day's matches it takes the most popular tier of competitions that has an outcome priced between 1.80 and 1.90 - the 22 football leagues it is back-tested on come first, other competitions only on a day those have none - then the handicap before the goal lines, then the outcome the consensus rates most likely. On a day no football league has such an outcome, it takes another sport's two-way market instead - the winner including overtime, or a total on a half line, in basketball, ice hockey, volleyball, handball, baseball or American football - which is not back-tested, so its second bar is labelled "Football back-test". It shows that outcome with its implied probability, fair odds and average price. Its second bar shows how often the same rule's daily pick came in over the last five seasons (2022/23–2026/27): 50.9% across 978 days, against an average stated probability of 51.6%. It is a market reading, not a recommendation, and it makes no claim of value.

How much does Pro Edge^™ cost?

One membership with everything included - Prime: £39/month. Full details are on the Membership section of the homepage.

How does the free trial work?

The Prime membership includes a 14-day free trial. Unless cancelled beforehand, the Subscription converts automatically to the £39 monthly membership at the end of the trial. See clause 4 of our Terms of Service for the exact mechanics.

Why do prices move after a selection is published?

That's usually a steam move - other sharp action hitting the same side at multiple bookmakers in a short window. It's a real-time signal the market is converging toward the price we took, and one of the reasons we grade ourselves on the closing line rather than the headline price.

How are selections delivered?

Via Telegram, timestamped and geo-aware, ahead of kick-off - never after the line has already moved against the published price.

Which sports and leagues does Pro Edge^™ cover?

Everything is included in the Prime membership: Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League; EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A and the Basketball Bundesliga; and MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA and the WNBA.

How do I cancel, and what happens to payment?

At any time, through your account portal. No further charges are taken once the current billing period ends.

How is '1 unit' defined?

By splitting the bankroll into equal parts, never more than 1/20th (5%) and often smaller. Whatever size is chosen stays fixed for a minimum of 30 days rather than being recalculated bet to bet - see our Methodology for the full staking discipline.

Do you ever recommend hedging a position?

No. We publish a modelled edge at the time of the original price; what a User does with that position before the event finishes - including hedging it on a later, moved line - is entirely their own decision. We don't track or advise on in-play adjustments.

Does Pro Edge^™ guarantee profits?

No quantitative model can guarantee an individual outcome. An edge describes a statistical advantage expected to materialise over a large sample, not a certainty on any single selection. Variance, including extended losing streaks, is an expected feature of a profitable model - see our Responsible Gambling policy for guidance on managing risk.